by balzaccom » Tue Sep 30, 2014 8:24 am
I have no idea---but can only guess that your odds would be better even one day before that. Hikers tend to focus on deadlines and there will be a group of people who realize, as you have done, that this is their last chance this year.
The dome will be there next year, though.
And if you DON"T get a permit, just drive up to Tenaya Lake and take the Sunrise trailhead to Clouds Rest. It's a mile shorter than Half Dome, and has much better views--including the view from the top which captures the whole Sierra crest and the top of Half Dome, which you will be looking DOWN on.
Check our our website: http://www.backpackthesierra.com/
Or just read a good mystery novel set in the Sierra; https://www.amazon.com/Danger-Falling-Rocks-Paul-Wagner/dp/0984884963